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CLAIM NOWToss Winner - New Zealand won the toss and choose to bat first
India beat New Zealand by 4 wickets
Can Rohit lead India to another ICC Trophy?
India to win the Champions Trophy 2025
Tournament: | ICC Champions Trophy, 2025 |
Format: | odi |
Venue: | Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai, United Arab Emirates |
Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
Weather: | 30.2°C|Sunny |
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India have reached yet another final of an ICC event. They were strong favorites to beat Australia in the semis and are just one step away from winning the ICC Champions Trophy once again.
New Zealand have been exceptional in this tournament and have won all but one match in their campaign. They are coming into this game on the back of a huge win against South Africa in Lahore.
The shift in the venues is a big factor for New Zealand. It will affect their chances of winning the final. They have played only one match on this ground so far which they lost to India while chasing a 250-run target.
India have played all their matches at this venue and knowing that they will play all the games here, they picked the squad accordingly. Many observers have noted that India have an unfair advantage in this tournament.
There are no doubts about India’s chances of winning. While New Zealand may be the only team in this tournament who can give India a run for their money as they did in their last encounter at this venue, India are still a step ahead in this contest.
They’ve got a strong spin-bowling attack with Axar Patel, Kuldeep Yadav, Varun Chakravarthy, and Ravindra Jadeja. These 4 can overpower any batting lineup in the world at the moment.
The pitch conditions are ideal for their bowling style and we reckon they will play a huge role in India’s victory. India’s key batters are also in fine touch and with Virat Kohli coming good in a knockout game of an ICC event, the men in blue will be very confident taking on New Zealand.
Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill may not have been in their best form lately, but their potential is well-known. The openers can put India in a strong position even if one of them plays a longer innings.
The depth in this batting lineup with experienced players in the lower order like Hardik Pandya and Ravindra Jadeja also adds to India’s overall squad strength. Shreyas Iyer is a key batter in the middle-order who’s been consistently delivering for the team. He fell just 5 runs short of his 3rd consecutive fifty in the semi-final against Australia.
Mohammad Shami has picked up 8 wickets in 4 matches and is the leading wicket taker for India in the tournament. Shami has a phenomenal record against New Zealand, where he has scalped 37 wickets in 15 matches. Shami was the top bowler in two of the four matches played and we back him to deliver another match winning spell against the Kiwis in today's final.
The left hander has been a really good addition at no 5 for India. Axar scored 27 & 42 runs in the last two games, where he has handled the pressure situations well and built key partnerships in the middle overs. Given his experience and ability to score runs against spinners, we back Axar Patel to come good in the final and score over 16 runs.
Iyer scored 45 runs in the semi-final clash against Australia, where he played a crucial role in India's comeback in the run-chase. So far in the tournament, Iyer has scored 195 runs in 4 matches. Against New Zealand in the last two ICC matches, Iyer scored 105 & 79.
Rohit Sharma (c), Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, Axar Patel, KL Rahul (wk), Hardik Pandya, Ravindra Jadeja, Mohammed Shami, Kuldeep Yadav, Varun Chakravarthy
Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, Axar Patel, Lokesh Rahul, Hardik Pandya, Ravindra Jadeja, Mohammed Shami, Kuldeep Yadav, Varun Chakravarthy
New Zealand look strong with the ball and have always posed a threat to the men in blue in ICC events. They were brilliant with the ball in their last game against India at this venue with their pacers picking up early wickets of the top 3 batters.
However, it wasn’t easy for the Blackcaps to chase even a par total on this ground against Indian spinners. Kane Williamson is their key middle-order batsman who’s in great touch, scoring consistently.
He will be the one to watch out for against India. He can play the spinners well but needs the from Rachin Ravindra, who’s another top-order batsman capable of playing the longer knock.
If these two come good on this occasion, New Zealand can fancy their chances of beating India in yet another knock-out game of an ICC tournament. Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham, and Glenn Phillips are key players in the lower middle order.
Mitchell and Latham and reliable and experienced batters who can build crucial partnerships towards the second half of the innings while Phillips is a big-hitting finisher who will be expected to accelerate the run rate at the death.
Matt Henry and Kyle Jamieson will lead the pace attack for New Zealand. They’re the ones targeting the top 3 of the Indian batting order. In the spin department, New Zealand has Rachin Ravindra, Michael Bracewell, and the skipper Mitchell Santner himself.
Williamson is in sublime touch at the moment where he has notched up 102 & 81 runs in the last two matches. In the two ODI matches played at Dubai, Williamson has scored 91 runs and against India he scored 1291 in 25 ODI's averaging 45.5. Given his current form and ability to hold the innings from one end, Williamson is the best batter to bet on in this grand final.
Will Young, Rachin Ravindra, Kane Williamson, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham (wk), Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (c), Matt Henry, Kyle Jamieson, William ORourke
Will Young, Rachin Ravindra, Kane Williamson, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Latham, Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner, Kyle Jamieson, William O'Rourke, Nathan Smith
We expect cloudy skies in Dubai on the match day with a high of 30 degrees Celsius. There is no rain prediction but we expect the weather to assist new-ball bowlers in the second innings.
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
SwingSpin Bowling
Average TurnIt is a balanced wicket that has a lot to offer for the bowlers. Spinners play a key role here and it gets difficult to score quickly against them. The average 1st innings score in the last 4 ODIs of the Champions Trophy 2025 here is 245 runs. However, for a match-winning total, the team batting first should aim for at least 275 runs or more.
India and New Zealand are averaging 4.75 sixes per game, but in the last two matches both teams have been shown bit more intent and aggression where they hit 5 or more 6's. Both teams boast power hitters and on a fresh wicket, expect both teams to come out all guns blazing and we predict both teams to hit a minimum of 5 sixes in their innings.
The luck hasn't been in India's favour when it comes to coin tosses as they have not won a single coin toss in this tournament so far. But we believe that the luck will favour India in today's match and predict they will win the coin toss.
The average total match score in the four matches played in the Champions Trophy at Dubai International Stadium is 482.25. But unlike the first three games, the conditions were better for batting in the previous game. Expect a fresh wicket with a tinge of grass which will aid both the baters & bowlers.
Batting first would be ideal for New Zealand in this game. Though teams batting second have won 3 of the 4 matches here, given the Indian bowling strength, it won’t be ideal for New Zealand to chase a target on this ground in Dubai. India’s batting depth and bowling strength allow them to bat first or second and still be in a comfortable position.
New Zealand are a tough side with depth in the batting order and variety in the bowling attack. They’ve dominated India on many occasions in the past. In this scenario, however, the men in blue have the upper hand. The pitch conditions and their current form where almost all of their key players, particularly the spinners, have delivered exceptionally well, make them a strong favorite to win the ICC Champions Trophy 2025.
India to win the Champions Trophy 2025
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