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CLAIM NOWPunjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians, IPLT20, Today Match Prediction
PBKS vs MI Win Probability
Toss Winner - Punjab Kings won the toss and choose to bowl first
Punjab Kings beat Mumbai Indians by 5 wickets
Jasprit Bumrah has been electric this season, and the four overs he bowls is likely to turn out to be a major factor in the second Qualifier.
- The highest score chased at Narendra Modi Stadium in the IPL is Kolkata Knight Riders’ 207-7 (20 overs) versus Gujarat Titans in 2023.
- Punjab will need one of their openers to play a match-defining knock if they’re going to get over the line.
- Mumbai will be counting on another quick burst from Jonny Bairstow at the top to get them going in this crucial contest.
We are backing Mumbai Indians as the winners of Qualifier 2.
| Tournament: | Indian Premier League, 2025 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad, India |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 33.1°C|Overcast |
PBKS vs MI Live Prediction
PBKS vs MI Match Prediction & Analysis
Just two matches stand between us and the IPL 2025 final, and it’s down to three teams with a shot at the trophy. Punjab Kings take on Mumbai Indians in Qualifier 2 at Ahmedabad this Sunday night. The winner will go on to face Royal Challengers Bengaluru in the final on June 3, also at Ahmedabad. Both Punjab and Mumbai have hit top gear at different stages of the tournament, so this one’s set up to be a thriller that’s tough to call.
PBKS vs MI Betting News
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RECENT PERFORMANCE
PBKS
L W L W W
PBKS
101/10 in 14.1 7.13
106/2 in 10.0 10.6
MI
W L W L W
MI
155/8 in 20.0 7.75
147/7 in 19.0 7.74
117/10 in 16.1 7.24
217/2 in 20.0 10.85
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 4 Matches
Show More Show Less
214/3 in 20.0
IPL 2023
Mumbai Indians won by 6 wickets
216/4 in 18.5
201/6 in 20.0
IPL 2023
Punjab Kings won by 13 runs
214/8 in 20.0
TEAMS PREVIEW
Punjab Kings Preview
Mumbai Indians are through to Qualifier 2 after knocking out Gujarat Titans with a 20-run win in the Eliminator. They set the tone early, putting up 228-5 on a great batting track in Chandigarh, and then held Gujarat to 208-6 despite a few shaky moments along the way.
The five-time champs have completely flipped their season around in the back half and head into the knockouts with serious momentum. Their batting is starting to look ominous. Rohit Sharma, who’s had a mixed season, stepped up big in the Eliminator with a quality 81 off 50 balls. Jonny Bairstow, brought in as Will Jacks’ replacement, wasted no time making an impact—blasting 47 off just 22 balls. That explosive start from Bairstow gave MI a huge lift, and he looks set for another quick cameo.
The middle-order has turned into a real strength. Suryakumar Yadav is in outrageous form—673 runs from 15 innings, averaging over 67.30, and striking at 167.83. With numbers like that, it’s hard not to back him for another 30-plus score.
Tilak Varma’s quick 25 off 11 balls last game is another great sign for their batting. Further down, Hardik Pandya and Naman Dhir have played their part in pressure moments.
The pace duo of Trent Boult and Jasprit Bumrah gives MI a cutting edge. Boult was expensive in the Eliminator but is still a serious threat with the new ball and at the death. Bumrah, meanwhile, has been brilliant—18 wickets in 11 matches with an economy of just 6.36. His spell in the Eliminator broke Gujarat’s momentum when they were right in the chase.
Beyond those two, though, the bowling doesn’t look as settled. Richard Gleeson didn’t quite deliver last match, apart from a couple of decent balls. Mumbai could look at swapping him out for Ashwani Kumar, who nailed his yorkers at the end against Gujarat. Deepak Chahar as an Impact Sub might also be a handy move—give him three overs and allow him to make some early inroads.
Conditions in Ahmedabad might also bring Mitchell Santner into play, especially if there’s a bit of help for spin.
PBKS Over/Under Betting Tips
Josh Inglis has scored 201 runs in 9 matches, averaging 28.71 this season. The last time Inglis played against Mumbai Indians, he scored 73 runs, chasing down a score of over 180. On a good batting track at Ahmedabad, we back Inglis to come good and predict his score to be over 20 runs
Punjab Kings Predicted Playing XI:
Rohit Sharma, Jonny Bairstow (wk), Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Hardik Pandya (c), Naman Dhir, Raj Bawa, Mitchell Santner, Trent Boult, Jasprit Bumrah, Ashwani Kumar Impact Player: Deepak Chahar
Punjab Kings Key Players From Previous Game Of Indian Premier League, 2025
Punjab Kings Actual Playing XI:
YS Chahal, Vyshak Vijaykumar, Priyansh Arya, Josh Inglis, Shreyas Iyer, Nehal Wadhera, Shashank Singh, Marcus Stoinis, Azmatullah Omarzai, Kyle Jamieson, Arshdeep Singh
Mumbai Indians Preview
Punjab Kings were completely outplayed in Qualifier 1 by Royal Challengers Bengaluru. Sent in to bat, they crumbled for just 101, and RCB chased it down in only 10 overs.
That kind of defeat would have rattled any team, but Punjab now has a second chance to fix things in the next knockout match.
Despite the collapse last time, their batting has been their strong point all season. Prabhsimran Singh (517 runs in 15 innings) and Priyansh Arya (431 runs in 15 innings) have consistently laid a good base at the top. Punjab will be banking on one of them to click again.
Shreyas Iyer has kept the middle order together with a cool head, piling up 516 runs in 15 games at a strike rate of 171. He’s stepped up when it matters and will again be central if they want to put up a solid score. Nehal Wadhera hasn’t had any huge knocks, but his cameos—striking at around 150—have helped in tight spots.
Marcus Stoinis and Josh Inglis have chipped in as well. Stoinis has done his bit late in the innings, while Inglis has come in at number three or four and brought tempo. His 73 off 42 against Mumbai in the last league game was a standout—it shifted the momentum.
Shashank Singh has added value too, holding his nerve and seeing them home in pressure moments.
Their bowling hasn’t always been consistent, but there’s talent in there. Arshdeep Singh has been the standout, picking up 18 wickets in 15 matches and going at 8.62 per over. His ability to hit the right spots has helped.
With Marco Jansen out, there’s extra focus on Kyle Jamieson. He’s gone for a few runs this season, but was their best bowler in the first Qualifier—1 for 27 in three overs.
Yuzvendra Chahal has now missed three games due to injury, and there’s no clarity yet on his return. If he’s ruled out again, Harpreet Brar will carry extra weight as the lone spin option.
MI Over/Under Betting Tips
Suryakumar Yadav has scored 673 runs in 15 matches, averaging 67.30. He is in sublime form and has scored over 25 runs in all the matches played. The last time he played against Punjab, he scored 57 runs. Given his current form, we back Suryakumar Yadav to score over 29 runs in today's match.
Mumbai Indians Predicted Playing XI:
Priyansh Arya, Prabhsimran Singh, Josh Inglis (wk), Shreyas Iyer (c), Nehal Wadhera, Shashank Singh, Marcus Stoinis, Azmatullah Omarzai, Harpreet Brar, Arshdeep Singh, Kyle Jamieson Impact Player: Yuzvendra Chahal/ Vijaykumar Vyshak/ Musheer Khan
Mumbai Indians Key Players From Previous Game Of Indian Premier League, 2025
Mumbai Indians Actual Playing XI:
Reece Topley, Jonny Bairstow, Suryakumar Yadav, Rohit Sharma, Tilak Varma, Naman Dhir, Raj Bawa, Hardik Pandya, Mitchell Santner, Jasprit Bumrah, Trent Boult
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The Narendra Modi Stadium pitch has delivered well for T20s — batters usually enjoy the conditions, but it also offers something for pacers and those who mix it up with slower balls. As the match progresses, the surface can lose some pace, making scoring a bit harder in the second half. Nonetheless, it remains a decent track for putting runs on the board.
Ahmedabad is expected to be hot and dry, with no rain expected.
PBKS vs MI Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BattingBatting Conditions
High ScoringPace Bowling
Pace BounceSpin Bowling
Average Turn
The Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad tends to produce decent batting surfaces, with an average first innings total of 177. However, the last two games here have seen totals of 230 or more by the side batting first and winning comfortably. With this being a knockout clash, teams will want to put up something big on the board to have a buffer in case the bowling doesn’t go to plan. Both sides will likely aim for something in the 210-215 range to feel like they’re in control.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
The average total match score in the 7 matches played in Ahmedabad this season is 405 runs. Ahmedabad has traditionally been a high-scoring venue, and with power-packed batting lineups squaring off, expect both teams to come hard. We predict the total match score to be over 379 runs.
We back Punjab Kings to win the coin toss in qualifier 2 against Mumbai Indians.
Toss: To Bat
Six of the seven matches played at Ahmedabad in IPL 2025 have been won by the team batting first. So, the message is clear – win the toss and bat first at this venue.
PBKS vs MI
Winning Prediction
In a knockout like this, things can go either way, as Punjab Kings and Mumbai Indians both have what it takes on their day. That being said, Punjab might be under pressure after that brutal loss in the first Qualifier. It’s unfamiliar ground for them, with this being their first playoff appearance in 11 years. That lack of recent experience might affect how freely they play. Meanwhile, Mumbai come in looking confident, backed by the belief that comes from five previous title wins. T20s are unpredictable, and Punjab have enough match-winners to take down any team. But with so much riding on this match, leaning toward a settled Mumbai side—with Jasprit Bumrah in menacing form—feels like the safer call.
We are backing Mumbai Indians as the winners of Qualifier 2.
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